Wind storm | hurricane | Height m/s 1 5 10 15 | 20 25 30 | 35 40 45 | Base C1 C2 C3 C4 Summ1 Summit2 Km/h 4 18 36 54 | 72 90 108| 126 144 162 | 6139 6748 7091 7499 8249 8854 9192 m Kt 2 10 19 29 | 39 49 58 | 68 78 87 | 19009 21007 22132 23471 25932 27917 29025 ft
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May 14
****************************************************************** Everest forecast - From WNI and AdventureWeather.com By ExplorersWeb WNI Headline: Models are being very persistent in forecasting the better winds for climbing starting the afternoon/evening on Saturday and also the possible development of the tropical cyclone in the North Bay of Bengal. Today and part of tomorrow should be the windiest days through this forecasting period. Models are continuing to forecast the possible cyclone to usher in plenty of moisture to the ME area starting on Monday and through the rest of the week. In the meantime, the jet will move further north resulting in the development of lighter winds. The push timing currently looks good as far as winds go, but be cautious of the snow showers and accumulations starting on Monday and through the rest of next week. Below 7500m - Today and part of tomorrow look for winds to be around 10-18 m/s and mainly out of the W/NW. By Saturday evening the winds should ease to less than 10 m/s and turn to more of a NW'erly direction. Look for mostly dry conditions today and through Sunday. There is a chance for showers on Monday with snow becoming likely through the rest of the week. Winds starting on Monday are continuously being forecasted to be around 2-10 m/s. At this time models are having a difficult time with the wind direction around mid-week, but should have a grasp on the direction once/if the cyclone develops. Above 7500m - Today and tomorrow will be windy near the Summits. Look for winds to be around 15-25 m/s through Saturday afternoon. The winds are forecasted to then be around 5-12 m/s through Monday. Models are then forecasting winds to be around 5-10 m/s through Thursday. The wind direction will be out of the W/NW today and turn more NW'erly through most of this forecasting period. At this time winds look good for the push to the Summit, but again, be cautious of the snow showers/accumulations next week. Safe Climbing! ************************************************************************ Table for Mount Everest Forecast for Mount Everest produced by Weathernews Americas Inc. Based on AVN forecasts from: 14 May, 2004, 06 UTC South Base Camp1 Camp2 Camp3 Camp4 Summit1 Summit2 Route 5400m 6100m 6700m 7500m 8000m 8500m 8848m North Base Adv CampI CampII CampIII Summit Route 5150m 6500m 7000m 7800m 8300m 8848m May 14 06 UTC 550mb 500mb 450mb 400mb 350mb 300mb Height (m) 5089 5852 6676 7578 8581 9707 Temp (deg C) 3 -3 -9 -14 -19 -28 Rel Hum (%) 56 80 97 32 10 13 Wind (m/s) 10 10 13 19 24 24 Wind Dir 260 275 285 285 275 275 May 14 18 UTC 550mb 500mb 450mb 400mb 350mb 300mb Height (m) 5069 5829 6656 7562 8566 9692 Temp (deg C) -1 -3 -8 -13 -20 -28 Rel Hum (%) 79 42 26 3 0 8 Wind (m/s) 11 13 13 17 23 24 Wind Dir 285 295 310 300 290 280 May 15 06 UTC 550mb 500mb 450mb 400mb 350mb 300mb Height (m) 5087 5850 6675 7580 8586 9711 Temp (deg C) 3 -3 -8 -13 -19 -28 Rel Hum (%) 50 68 83 7 0 10 Wind (m/s) 06 07 10 17 21 21 Wind Dir 255 280 300 295 290 285 May 15 18 UTC 550mb 500mb 450mb 400mb 350mb 300mb Height (m) 5106 5868 6696 7601 8603 9727 Temp (deg C) 1 -3 -8 -14 -20 -28 Rel Hum (%) 86 58 35 18 8 16 Wind (m/s) 07 05 05 06 10 13 Wind Dir 280 315 345 335 310 295 May 16 06 UTC 550mb 500mb 450mb 400mb 350mb 300mb Height (m) 5110 5878 6707 7615 8619 9742 Temp (deg C) 5 -2 -7 -13 -20 -28 Rel Hum (%) 42 55 39 0 3 26 Wind (m/s) 02 CALM 04 06 09 10 Wind Dir 215 00 330 305 290 May 16 18 UTC 550mb 500mb 450mb 400mb 350mb 300mb Height (m) 5114 5881 6714 7622 8622 9742 Temp (deg C) 3 -1 -6 -14 -21 -29 Rel Hum (%) 90 63 45 36 57 67 Wind (m/s) 04 02 04 04 05 08 Wind Dir 285 15 50 50 360 310 May 17 06 UTC 550mb 500mb 450mb 400mb 350mb 300mb Height (m) 5117 5887 6720 7629 8632 9755 Temp (deg C) 4 -1 -6 -13 -20 -29 Rel Hum (%) 86 75 56 58 72 83 Wind (m/s) 02 02 03 04 05 07 Wind Dir 230 310 300 275 270 280 May 17 18 UTC 550mb 500mb 450mb 400mb 350mb 300mb Height (m) 5097 5863 6695 7604 8606 9727 Temp (deg C) 2 -1 -6 -13 -21 -29 Rel Hum (%) 100 87 68 77 97 100 Wind (m/s) 05 05 04 04 06 10 Wind Dir 250 305 360 05 330 315 May 18 06 UTC 550mb 500mb 450mb 400mb 350mb 300mb Height (m) 5071 5834 6663 7571 8576 9702 Temp (deg C) 2 -3 -7 -13 -20 -28 Rel Hum (%) 100 98 98 97 98 99 Wind (m/s) 02 03 06 09 11 09 Wind Dir 235 280 290 285 275 265 May 18 18 UTC 550mb 500mb 450mb 400mb 350mb 300mb Height (m) 5054 5815 6643 7550 8553 9676 Temp (deg C) 1 -3 -8 -14 -20 -28 Rel Hum (%) 100 100 100 100 100 102 Wind (m/s) 02 02 05 06 05 04 Wind Dir 225 340 05 350 340 265 May 19 06 UTC 550mb 500mb 450mb 400mb 350mb 300mb Height (m) 5037 5802 6631 7538 8538 9663 Temp (deg C) 2 -2 -7 -14 -21 -27 Rel Hum (%) 83 69 56 42 86 98 Wind (m/s) 06 06 06 05 04 08 Wind Dir 90 75 50 10 320 250 May 19 18 UTC 550mb 500mb 450mb 400mb 350mb 300mb Height (m) 5038 5801 6630 7538 8540 9660 Temp (deg C) 1 -3 -7 -13 -21 -29 Rel Hum (%) 95 88 87 95 100 99 Wind (m/s) 02 02 05 06 05 CALM Wind Dir 295 15 60 70 65 May 20 06 UTC 550mb 500mb 450mb 400mb 350mb 300mb Height (m) 5027 5794 6627 7537 8543 9673 Temp (deg C) 3 -1 -7 -13 -19 -27 Rel Hum (%) 86 78 80 81 97 100 Wind (m/s) 02 02 03 04 03 04 Wind Dir 110 75 35 10 340 275 Safe Climbing! WNI/TPLC Forecaster: Lee |
RMH 
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